FARS Research

Traffic Fatalities by Age Group: 2015 to 2023 Trends

Research question

Which age groups bear the highest burden of traffic fatalities in the United States, how have those burdens shifted between 2015 and 2023, and what do the trajectory differences between younger and older driver cohorts reveal about crash-risk patterns over that nine-year span?

Methodology

We queried NHTSA's Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) age-group aggregate table, summing person-level fatality records by age bracket for each calendar year from 2015 through 2023. Age groups are defined by NHTSA coding convention. Per-group totals for 2015 and 2023 were extracted separately to measure direction and magnitude of change. National totals come from NHTSA's yearly-national summary table and serve as the denominator context for share calculations. No population-based rates are computed here; the analysis reports absolute fatality counts. According to our methodology, all figures reflect NHTSA's final-release FARS data for each year, not preliminary counts.

The overall picture: 40,901 deaths in 2023, up from 35,484 in 2015

Road fatalities in the United States rose from 35,484 in 2015 to 40,901 in 2023, a net increase of 5,417 deaths over the nine-year period. That increase was not distributed evenly across age groups. Prime working-age adults, ages 25 through 54, account for a disproportionate share of total deaths in every year, a pattern that holds because these cohorts combine high vehicle exposure (commuting, long-distance travel, nighttime driving) with risk behaviors that peak in younger adulthood. The picture that emerges from a nine-year read of the data is one of diverging trajectories: older groups held relatively steady or declined slightly, while the 25-34 cohort climbed to become the single deadliest group by 2023.

The 9-year cumulative toll across all groups reached 349,812 fatalities, per the NHTSA FARS age-group table. That figure spans every person fatally injured in a police-reported motor vehicle crash on a public roadway in the contiguous United States and its territories, regardless of their role as driver, passenger, pedestrian, or cyclist, provided their age was recorded. Unknown-age records contribute a small residual (161 in 2023, 80 in 2015) but are excluded from group-level trend discussions here.

The 25-34 cohort: highest fatalities in 2023 at 7,583

In 2015, the 25-34 age group recorded 6,344 deaths, already the second-highest total among all brackets. By 2023, that count climbed to 7,583, a rise of approximately 1,239 deaths, placing 25-34 year-olds at the top of every age group in absolute fatality count. This group's 9-year cumulative total reached 65,470, the highest of any cohort across the study period.

Several factors contribute to the elevated and rising toll for young adults. Young men in particular are over-represented in single-vehicle nighttime crashes, high-speed collisions, and alcohol-impaired events, categories that FARS records through its vehicle and person attribute fields. The expansion of ride-hailing and delivery work also increased vehicle-miles-traveled exposure for this age cohort relative to earlier decades. Neither factor is directly measurable within the age-group aggregate alone, but both are consistent with the directional signal the data shows.

Middle-aged groups: large absolute counts with mixed trajectories

The 35-44 age group moved from 4,707 deaths in 2015 to 6,416 in 2023, a substantial increase that mirrors the 25-34 trajectory. Cumulatively, 35-44 year-olds accounted for 50,799 deaths over the nine years. The 45-54 group actually declined over the same window, from 5,304 in 2015 to 5,247 in 2023, giving it one of the few downward trajectories among working-age cohorts. The 55-64 group, by contrast, climbed from 4,856 to 5,641, contributing 49,593 over the full period.

The divergence between the 45-54 decline and the 35-44 rise is worth noting. It may partly reflect cohort composition: the 45-54 bracket in 2023 comprises adults born in the 1969-1978 range who came of driving age during a period of stricter seat-belt enforcement and vehicle-safety improvements, while the 35-44 group includes adults who came of age alongside smartphones and whose driving patterns include higher distraction exposure. That hypothesis is consistent with national distracted-driving fatality trends but cannot be proven from age-group counts alone.

Older driver groups: rising counts despite population-adjusted decline

Americans 65 and older represent the fastest-growing segment of the driving population. The 65-74 group recorded 3,140 deaths in 2015 and 4,268 in 2023, a notable rise in absolute terms. Over all nine years the group accumulated 33,312 fatalities. The 75-and-older cohort similarly rose from 3,097 in 2015 to 3,623 in 2023, for a 9-year total of 30,884.

Absolute-count growth for older Americans is partly a demographic artifact: the number of licensed drivers aged 65-plus has grown substantially as the Baby Boom generation ages through this bracket, increasing exposure. Per-licensed-driver or per-mile-traveled rates for older adults have generally improved over time due to safer vehicles, better emergency care, and voluntary driving reduction as cognitive or physical limitations develop. The absolute count rising while the exposure-adjusted rate likely falls is a classic population-growth effect that pure fatality counts cannot fully disentangle.

Teen and young-adult groups: the 16-24 corridor

Teenagers (16-20) and college-age adults (21-24) together represent a corridor of elevated crash risk well-documented in public-health literature. In 2015, the 16-20 group recorded 3,147 deaths; by 2023 that figure stood at 3,390, a modest increase. The 21-24 group moved from 3,464 to 3,311, a slight decline. Cumulatively, 16-20 year-olds contributed 28,310 deaths and 21-24 year-olds 30,131 over the nine years.

The relatively restrained increase for teens compared to the 25-34 surge likely reflects two countervailing forces. Graduated driver licensing (GDL) programs, now operating in all 50 states, restrict nighttime and high-passenger driving for new licensees, reducing the most dangerous exposure conditions. At the same time, the absolute exposure for this group is lower than for working-age adults who commute daily, meaning smaller base counts absorb proportional-risk changes more easily. Neither the improvement nor the persistence of thousands of teen deaths should be taken as a reason for complacency; road crashes remain the leading cause of death for Americans aged 1-54 in most years.

How the distribution shifted between 2015 and 2023

In 2015, five groups each recorded more than 3,000 deaths: 25-34 (6,344), 45-54 (5,304), 35-44 (4,707), 55-64 (4,856), and 65-74 (3,140). By 2023, six groups exceeded 3,000: 25-34 (7,583), 35-44 (6,416), 55-64 (5,641), 45-54 (5,247), 65-74 (4,268), and 75+ (3,623). The 25-34 group's 2023 share of all deaths reached approximately 18.5%, up from roughly 17.9% in 2015, confirming a concentration effect in prime young-adult ages even as the overall total rose by 5,417. The share held by adults 65 and older also grew, from roughly 17.4% in 2015 to roughly 19.3% in 2023, driven by demographic growth in that cohort.

These distributional shifts have practical implications for road-safety policy. Interventions targeted narrowly at teen drivers address a group whose absolute toll, while serious, is smaller and in some metrics improving. Broader interventions, whether enforcement-based (impaired driving, speeding), infrastructure-based (protected intersections, pedestrian refuges, rumble strips on rural roads), or behavioral (distraction reduction), that affect the 25-54 working-age cohort will reach the groups where absolute fatality counts are highest and, in some cases, still rising.

Traffic fatalities by age group, 2023

Absolute fatality count per age bracket, NHTSA FARS final-release data

fatalities

What this shows The 25-34 age group led all brackets in 2023 with 7,583 deaths, followed closely by 35-44 (6,416), reflecting the elevated exposure and risk behavior of prime working-age adults.

Source NHTSA FARS As of 2023

What this analysis cannot tell us

Absolute fatality counts by age group do not adjust for exposure: a group that drives more miles, drives at riskier times, or has grown in licensed-driver count will show higher absolute deaths even if their per-mile risk has fallen. Age categories here follow NHTSA coding convention and mask within-group heterogeneity by sex, road type, and crash configuration. The data covers fatalities on public roadways only; off-highway crashes, private property incidents, and deaths occurring more than 30 days after a crash are excluded per FARS statutory scope. Age is occasionally recorded as unknown in submitted police reports (161 cases in 2023); these are excluded from group trends. The analysis does not attribute causation: an observed rise or fall in a group's count reflects the combination of exposure changes, behavioral changes, infrastructure changes, and vehicle-safety changes happening simultaneously across that cohort.